As anyone who followed Manchester City and Liverpool’s progress on Sunday will tell you, predicting the outcome of anything regarding the Premier League is a risky business indeed.

If things had gone slightly differently for the top two in the final 15 minutes of the campaign, no-one would have picked the winners as none had backed the Reds to take the title.

As it turned out, 13 of them correctly chose City to be champions, but only two got the top three in the right order – Danny Murphy and Mark Lawrenson, who to be fair is a professional predictor.

Rob Green was the only other person to have Liverpool in their top two and none got all four teams right.

Manchester United’s fall from second in 2021 to sixth in 2022 put paid to that and, while it is fair to say Tottenham’s fourth-place finish surprised everyone, the same could have been said if Arsenal had finished in the Champions League places instead.

You can see everyone’s pre-season top-four predictions in full below.

Snapshot showing the top four of the Premier League table: 1st Man City, 2nd Liverpool, 3rd Chelsea, 4th Tottenham

Alan Shearer Chelsea Man City Man Utd Liverpool
Fara Williams Chelsea Man City Man Utd Liverpool
Sue Smith Chelsea Man City Man Utd Liverpool
Chris Sutton Chelsea Man City Liverpool Man Utd
Rachel Brown-Finnis Chelsea Man City Liverpool Man Utd
Matthew Upson Chelsea Man City Liverpool Man Utd
Rob Green Chelsea Liverpool Man City Man Utd
Martin Keown Man City Chelsea Liverpool Man Utd
Micah Richards Man City Chelsea Liverpool Man Utd
Stephen Warnock Man City Chelsea Liverpool Man Utd
Danny Murphy Man City Liverpool Chelsea Man Utd
Mark Lawrenson Man City Liverpool Chelsea Man Utd
Ashley Williams Man City Chelsea Man Utd Liverpool
Clinton Morrison Man City Chelsea Man Utd Liverpool
Michael Brown Man City Chelsea Man Utd Liverpool
Pat Nevin Man City Chelsea Man Utd Liverpool
Leon Osman Man City Chelsea Man Utd Liverpool
Nedum Onuoha Man City Man Utd Liverpool Chelsea
Lindsay Johnson Man City Man Utd Chelsea Liverpool
Jermaine Beckford Man City Chelsea Man Utd Leicester

Five teams featured in the forecasted top fours but only City, United and Chelsea made all 20.

Putting everyone’s predictions together resulted in a runaway top two – only of City and Chelsea – with United pipping Liverpool to third and Leicester finishing fifth. Apart from City’s triumph, all of that didn’t happen in real life.

1. Man City 2. Chelsea 3. Man Utd 4. Liverpool 5. Leicester
72 pts 62 pts 33 pts 32 pts 1 pt

(using system of 4 pts for a 1st place, 3 pts for 2nd, 2 pts for 3rd and 1 pt for 4th)

For those of you reading this and thinking, ‘Liverpool in fourth? How could they all get that so wrong?’, you might well ask yourself the same question.

More than 250,000 of you made your predictions for how the table would finish on the BBC website last August and, although 46% of you picked City as champions, the rest of your overall top four was Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United in that order.

There were a few more leftfield choices too, for example the 394 people who chose Norwich as their champions – although that was still nine more than the 385 who picked Everton to finish top of the pile.

Maybe most Toffees fans knew what kind of campaign was coming?



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